The fall run is suppossedly an indicator of the spring run, which in theory makes sense. You would figure that all you have to do is be out there to catch from *the body of fish that winter over*.It doesn't always hold true though, at least according to the reports.
Last fall, my buddy called me practically after every trip, and he caught from 12 to 32 flounder for about 2 weeks at (censored, sorry). Then, the skates took over. But all told, that was a favorable indicator.
Funny thing though....the year before they instituted the December 1st cut off, We caught NOTHING all fall until the second week of December, at the Ruffle Bar near Floyd Bennet Field. Then, it was one of the best run in years until Christmas time, 35+ fish a trip.
With that in mind, there could be a big body of fall fish, and we wouldn't even know about it!